Castellbell i el Vilar: SXCV - AM would keep its majority
Castellbell i el Vilar (Barcelona, 3,889 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%SXCV - AM majority
- 1,693valid votes in 2023 (54% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Castellbell i el Vilar
Castellbell i el Vilar is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 3,889 inhabitants, the 145th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 SXCV - AM came first with 48.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 5. 54.3% of the 3,119 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps SXCV - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- SXCV - AMERC 48.8% → 57.1% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 48.8% → 40.6% 5 → 4 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,693 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.