Olèrdola: APO would win a majority
Olèrdola (Barcelona, 3,884 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 62%no list with a majority
- 1,779valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
APO+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 43.4%)
Majority 38%
ERC / ESQUERRA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 17.5%)
Majority 0%
CM±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURA−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 16.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- APOLocal lists 43.4% → 44.3% 5 → 6 councillors
- ERC / ESQUERRAERC 17.5% → 22.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- CMJunts 20.5% → 18.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURAPSOE 16.8% → 13.6% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,779 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Olèrdola in size, in Barcelona
- Castellbell i el Vilar3,889 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Balenyà3,948 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Torre de Claramunt3,966 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Santa Susanna3,755 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Pont de Vilomara i Rocafort4,024 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Seva3,736 inhabitants · 11 councillors