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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Olèrdola: APO would win a majority

Olèrdola (Barcelona, 3,884 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

APO+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 43.4%) Majority 38%
ERC / ESQUERRA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 20.5%) Majority 0%
PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Olèrdola

Olèrdola is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 3,884 inhabitants, the 146th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 APO came first with 43.4% of the vote and 5 seats; CM was second with 2. 61.1% of the 2,913 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps APO on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 38% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. APOLocal lists 43.4% → 44.3% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 17.5% → 22.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CMJunts 20.5% → 18.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PARTIT DELS SOCIALISTES DE CATALUNYA -CANDIDATURAPSOE 16.8% → 13.6% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,779 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olèrdola in size, in Barcelona

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