Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castellbell i el Vilar: SXCV - AM would keep its majority

Castellbell i el Vilar (Barcelona, 3,889 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SXCV - AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 48.8%) Majority 89%
PSC-CP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 48.8%) Majority 11%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SXCV - AMERC 48.8% → 57.1% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 48.8% → 40.6% 5 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,693 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castellbell i el Vilar in size, in Barcelona

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