Cabrera de Mar: CM would keep its majority
Cabrera de Mar (Barcelona, 4,848 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%CM majority
- 2,310valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cabrera de Mar
Cabrera de Mar is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 4,848 inhabitants, the 134th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 61.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 2. 61% of the 3,788 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 61.9% → 61.0% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 15.5% → 13.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- CUP - AMUNTCUP 7.9% → 8.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 6.0% → 8.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 7.0% → 6.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,310 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.