Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Badia del Vallès: PSC-CP would keep its majority

Badia del Vallès (Barcelona, 13,163 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 76%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%
TFB-C±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 51.2% → 46.8% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. VOXVox 10.4% → 17.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. TFB-CSumar, Podemos and allies 13.0% → 9.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 6.8% → 8.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 8.3% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 4.4% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CMJunts 4.1% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,903 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Badia del Vallès in size, in Barcelona

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