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Avinyó: ERC-AM would win a majority

Avinyó (Barcelona, 2,270 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 54.9% of the vote (2023: 46.4%) Majority 80%
CM−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.7% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 20%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AMERC 46.4% → 54.9% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 51.2% → 42.7% 6 → 5 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,010 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Avinyó in size, in Barcelona

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