Alella: ERC+SXA - AM would win a majority
Alella (Barcelona, 10,079 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 82%ERC+SXA - AM majority
- 3,830valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC+SXA - AM+1
9
councillors (2023: 8) · 48.7% of the vote (2023: 40.1%)
Majority 82%
CM±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 23.8%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 13.1%)
Majority 0%
AP-PSC-CP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.6% of the vote (2023: 11.9%)
Majority 0%
MPIC±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 7.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC+SXA - AMERC 40.1% → 48.7% 8 → 9 councillors
- CMJunts 23.8% → 20.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 13.1% → 11.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- AP-PSC-CPPSOE 11.9% → 8.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- MPICLocal lists 7.0% → 6.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,830 valid votes including 85 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Alella in size, in Barcelona
- Llinars del Vallès10,205 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Sant Vicenç de Castellet9,949 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Santa Margarida de Montbui10,294 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Santa Maria de Palautordera9,777 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Premià de Dalt10,400 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Bigues i Riells9,757 inhabitants · 13 councillors