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Villafranca de los Barros: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Villafranca de los Barros (Badajoz, 12,429 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 40%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority 0%
CS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 3.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Villafranca de los Barros

Villafranca de los Barros is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 12,429 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48.2% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 74.9% of the 9,979 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.2% → 43.9% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.8% → 26.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 15.9% → 16.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.5% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. UEDLocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,473 valid votes including 97 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villafranca de los Barros in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →