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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Badajoz

Mérida: PSOE would keep its majority

Mérida (Badajoz, 59,324 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
13 councillors (2023: 14) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 48.5%) Majority 54%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
XMÉRIDA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.5% → 44.8% 14 → 13 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.1% → 23.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.8% → 15.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. XMÉRIDALocal lists 7.2% → 7.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. J.U.E.X.Local lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. UEDLocal lists 0.5% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,265 valid votes including 478 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mérida in size, in Badajoz

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