Barcarrota: PSOE would keep its majority
Barcarrota (Badajoz, 3,445 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 63%PSOE majority
- 2,447valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Barcarrota
Barcarrota is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 3,445 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.4% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 84% of the 2,914 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 63% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 49.4% → 49.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 40.5% → 43.0% 4 → 5 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 9.4% → 7.2% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,447 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.