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Barcarrota: PSOE would keep its majority

Barcarrota (Badajoz, 3,445 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 49.4%) Majority 63%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 40.5%) Majority 20%
IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 17% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.4% → 49.0% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.5% → 43.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 9.4% → 7.2% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,447 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Barcarrota in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →