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San Bartolomé de Pinares: no list would have a majority, PP largest

San Bartolomé de Pinares (Ávila, 510 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.0% of the vote (2023: 43.5%) Majority 37%
XAV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.4% of the vote (2023: 33.2%) Majority 1%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 61% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.5% → 44.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. XAVLocal lists 33.2% → 35.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.8% → 19.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 395 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Bartolomé de Pinares in size, in Ávila

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