Padiernos: XAV would keep its majority
Padiernos (Ávila, 287 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%XAV majority
- 186valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Padiernos
Padiernos is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 287 inhabitants, the 66th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 XAV came first with 81.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 0. 82.7% of the 225 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps XAV on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XAVLocal lists 81.2% → 79.5% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 6.5% → 11.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 8.1% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 186 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.