España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Padiernos: XAV would keep its majority

Padiernos (Ávila, 287 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

XAV±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 79.5% of the vote (2023: 81.2%) Majority over 99%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. XAVLocal lists 81.2% → 79.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. VOXVox 6.5% → 11.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  3. PPPP 8.1% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 186 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Padiernos in size, in Ávila

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