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Siero: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Siero (Asturias, 51,792 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
12 councillors (2023: 13) · 41.2% of the vote (2023: 43.9%) Majority 41%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%
P.V.F.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.9% → 41.2% 13 → 12 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.6% → 23.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.9% → 15.6% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. P.V.F.Local lists 6.2% → 6.7% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.4% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 2.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 26,241 valid votes including 501 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Siero in size, in Asturias

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