Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sariego: PROMUSA would keep its majority

Sariego (Asturias, 1,285 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PROMUSA+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 72.4% of the vote (2023: 66.8%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sariego

Sariego is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 1,285 inhabitants, the 53rd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PROMUSA came first with 66.8% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 77.9% of the 1,107 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PROMUSA on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PROMUSALocal lists 66.8% → 72.4% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 19.4% → 17.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  3. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.6% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 4.6% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 862 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sariego in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →