Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Proaza: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Proaza (Asturias, 715 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.2% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 17%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.5% of the vote (2023: 37.0%) Majority 4%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Proaza

Proaza is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 715 inhabitants, the 65th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.4% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 75% of the 667 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.4% → 40.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.0% → 36.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 24.4% → 22.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 500 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Proaza in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →