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Nava: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Nava (Asturias, 5,236 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 45.3% of the vote (2023: 46.5%) Majority 40%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority 0%
ASTURIANISTES-FORO+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 19.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Nava

Nava is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 5,236 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 46.5% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 65% of the 4,508 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.5% → 45.3% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.0% → 29.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. ASTURIANISTES-FOROLocal lists 19.0% → 21.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,930 valid votes including 81 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Nava in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →