Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Morcín: no list would have a majority, IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS largest

Morcín (Asturias, 2,560 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 43.5%) Majority 43%
PSOE+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
FACIENDO MORCIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Morcín

Morcín is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 2,560 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS came first with 43.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 71% of the 2,203 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 43.5% → 41.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.6% → 28.0% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. FACIENDO MORCINLocal lists 10.5% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.3% → 10.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. A.M.I.Local lists 4.5% → 5.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,565 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Morcín in size, in Asturias

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