Cabrales: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Cabrales (Asturias, 1,907 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 38%PSOE majority
- 1,236valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 45.5% of the vote (2023: 47.6%)
Majority 38%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 42.4%)
Majority 30%
FORO ASTURIAS+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 8.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 33% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 47.6% → 45.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 42.4% → 43.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 8.8% → 9.6% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,236 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.