Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Candamo: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Candamo (Asturias, 1,943 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 43.6%) Majority 26%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.7% of the vote (2023: 37.2%) Majority 11%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 63% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Candamo

Candamo is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 1,943 inhabitants, the 41st largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 43.6% of the vote and 4 seats; PP was second with 4. 67.6% of the 1,705 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.6% → 43.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.2% → 39.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 17.6% → 15.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,152 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Candamo in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →