Zigoitia: EH BILDU would win a majority
Zigoitia (Araba/Álava, 1,822 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 67%EH BILDU majority
- 879valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Zigoitia
Zigoitia is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 1,822 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 40.7% of the vote and 4 seats; EAJ-PNV was second with 4. 59.5% of the 1,478 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 40.7% → 47.5% 4 → 5 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 40.5% → 36.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 9.8% → 9.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 6.9% → 4.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 879 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.