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Iruña Oka/Iruña de Oca: no list would have a majority, PSE-EE (PSOE) largest

Iruña Oka/Iruña de Oca (Araba/Álava, 3,551 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.9% of the vote (2023: 33.9%) Majority 3%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 33.9% → 33.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 26.3% → 24.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. EH BILDUEH Bildu 17.5% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 15.9% → 16.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IUSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,545 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Iruña Oka/Iruña de Oca in size, in Araba/Álava

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