Bernedo: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Bernedo (Araba/Álava, 560 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 63%no list with a majority
- 214valid votes in 2023 (48% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 32.7%)
Majority 19%
EAJ-PNV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 38.3% of the vote (2023: 42.5%)
Majority 17%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 13.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 63% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 32.7% → 38.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 42.5% → 38.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 13.6% → 13.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 7.9% → 5.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 214 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.