Arboleas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Arboleas (Almería, 4,532 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 83%no list with a majority
- 1,393valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 83% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arboleas
Arboleas is a municipality in the province of Almería with 4,532 inhabitants, the 23rd largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 42.9% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 79.1% of the 1,762 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 42.9% → 40.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 39.2% → 40.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 17.5% → 19.0% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,393 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.