Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Orba: ACORD PER GUANYAR would keep its majority

Orba (Alicante/Alacant, 2,348 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 51.7%) Majority 70%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 31.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Orba

Orba is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 2,348 inhabitants, the 74th largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ACORD PER GUANYAR came first with 51.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 75.4% of the 1,319 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ACORD PER GUANYAR on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 70% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 51.7% → 50.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 31.1% → 31.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.9% → 18.0% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 995 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Orba in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →