Orba: ACORD PER GUANYAR would keep its majority
Orba (Alicante/Alacant, 2,348 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 70%ACORD PER GUANYAR majority
- 995valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Orba
Orba is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 2,348 inhabitants, the 74th largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ACORD PER GUANYAR came first with 51.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 75.4% of the 1,319 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ACORD PER GUANYAR on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 70% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 51.7% → 50.4% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.1% → 31.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 16.9% → 18.0% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 995 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Orba in size, in Alicante/Alacant
- Beniarbeig2,267 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Isidro2,154 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Romana2,605 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Granja de Rocamora2,626 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Fondó de les Neus /Hondón de las Nieves2,684 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Jacarilla2,039 inhabitants · 11 councillors