Orba: ACORD PER GUANYAR would keep its majority
Orba (Alicante/Alacant, 2,348 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 70%ACORD PER GUANYAR majority
- 995valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ACORD PER GUANYAR±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 50.4% of the vote (2023: 51.7%)
Majority 70%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 31.1%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 16.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 51.7% → 50.4% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 31.1% → 31.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 16.9% → 18.0% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 995 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Orba in size, in Alicante/Alacant
- Beniarbeig2,267 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Isidro2,154 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- La Romana2,605 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Granja de Rocamora2,626 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- El Fondó de les Neus /Hondón de las Nieves2,684 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Jacarilla2,039 inhabitants · 11 councillors