Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Catral: PP would keep its majority

Catral (Alicante/Alacant, 8,976 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 62.2% of the vote (2023: 63.5%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 5.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Catral

Catral is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 8,976 inhabitants, the 41st largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 63.5% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 68.1% of the 5,734 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 63.5% → 62.2% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.6% → 25.8% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.3% → 10.2% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,905 valid votes including 65 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Catral in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →