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Banyeres de Mariola: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Banyeres de Mariola (Alicante/Alacant, 7,201 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 40.8%) Majority 30%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.6% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 10%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Banyeres de Mariola

Banyeres de Mariola is a municipality in the province of Alicante/Alacant with 7,201 inhabitants, the 51st largest of its 141 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ACORD PER GUANYAR came first with 41.7% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 5. 75.3% of the 5,542 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.8% → 44.4% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 41.7% → 39.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 16.3% → 14.7% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,175 valid votes including 52 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Banyeres de Mariola in size, in Alicante/Alacant

Every municipality in Alicante/Alacant → · All of Spain →