Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bigastro: PP would keep its majority

Bigastro (Alicante/Alacant, 7,130 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 56.9% of the vote (2023: 58.0%) Majority 95%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 32.5%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.0% → 56.9% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 32.5% → 28.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.8% → 13.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. EUPV:ADELANTESumar, Podemos and allies 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,690 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bigastro in size, in Alicante/Alacant

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