Tobarra: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Tobarra (Albacete, 7,758 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 4,046valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tobarra
Tobarra is a municipality in the province of Albacete with 7,758 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 87 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 38.1% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 70% of the 5,782 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.1% → 36.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.9% → 26.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- P.C.D.T.Local lists 22.3% → 22.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.2% → 12.6% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,046 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.