Tobarra: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Tobarra (Albacete, 7,758 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 4,046valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 36.5% of the vote (2023: 38.1%)
Majority 2%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 26.8% of the vote (2023: 30.9%)
Majority 0%
P.C.D.T.±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.6% of the vote (2023: 22.3%)
Majority 0%
VOX±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 7.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.1% → 36.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.9% → 26.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- P.C.D.T.Local lists 22.3% → 22.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.2% → 12.6% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,046 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.