Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilarmaior: PP would keep its majority

Vilarmaior (A Coruña, 1,245 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 56.0% of the vote (2023: 61.6%) Majority 91%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 1%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Vilarmaior

Vilarmaior is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 1,245 inhabitants, the 87th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 61.6% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; B.N.G. was second with 2. 77.2% of the 1,096 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 61.6% → 56.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 22.3% → 31.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 14.9% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 846 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilarmaior in size, in A Coruña

Every municipality in A Coruña → · All of Spain →