Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilasantar: B.N.G. would win a majority

Vilasantar (A Coruña, 1,239 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 50%
PP−2
4 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.1% of the vote (2023: 60.0%) Majority 50%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 38.3% → 49.2% 3 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 60.0% → 49.1% 6 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 882 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilasantar in size, in A Coruña

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