Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cerdido: PP would keep its majority

Cerdido (A Coruña, 1,060 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 54.1% of the vote (2023: 52.2%) Majority 80%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.7% of the vote (2023: 45.6%) Majority 20%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cerdido

Cerdido is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 1,060 inhabitants, the 93rd largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 52.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 4. 73.7% of the 910 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.2% → 54.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 45.6% → 43.7% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 671 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cerdido in size, in A Coruña

Every municipality in A Coruña → · All of Spain →