Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cerceda: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

Cerceda (A Coruña, 5,019 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 61.2% of the vote (2023: 65.3%) Majority 98%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 25.8%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.1% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Cerceda

Cerceda is a municipality in the province of A Coruña with 5,019 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 93 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSDEG-PSOE came first with 65.3% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 80.3% of the 4,254 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSDEG-PSOE on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 65.3% → 61.2% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.8% → 25.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 8.3% → 13.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,416 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cerceda in size, in A Coruña

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