Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mugardos: no list would have a majority, B.N.G. largest

Mugardos (A Coruña, 5,246 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 3%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 32.3% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority 0%
EU−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 24.4% → 35.7% 3 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 35.1% → 32.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 23.3% → 18.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. EUSumar, Podemos and allies 15.4% → 11.4% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,817 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mugardos in size, in A Coruña

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