Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ortigueira: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ortigueira (A Coruña, 5,420 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 40.6%) Majority 14%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
P.ORTI±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%
XA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.6% → 39.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 27.1% → 23.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. P.ORTILocal lists 15.0% → 15.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. B.N.G.BNG 9.8% → 14.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. XALocal lists 6.8% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,681 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ortigueira in size, in A Coruña

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