Polls · Next federal election
Nanos Research, 16 October 2026
Nanos Research has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 22.3 points, 50.6% to 28.3%. Since its previous poll (9 October 2026): Liberal +1.8 (48.8 → 50.6), Conservative −1.2 (29.5 → 28.3).
| Fieldwork | 19 September 2026 – 16 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 20 October 2026 |
| Sample | 1,016 |
| Method | telephone (live interviewer) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Nanos weekly tracking (four-week rolling sample: start = end - 27 days), read from the PDF text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 Liberal |
50.6 |
 Conservative |
28.3 |
 NDP |
11.5 |
 Bloc |
6.2 |
 Green |
2.2 |
 PPC |
1.2 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Liberal 50.6% against 46%; Conservative 28.3% against 32%.