Polls · Next federal election
Nanos Research, 9 October 2026
Nanos Research has Liberal ahead of Conservative by 19.3 points, 48.8% to 29.5%. Since its previous poll (2 October 2026): Conservative +1.3 (28.2 → 29.5), Green −1.3 (3.4 → 2.1).
| Fieldwork | 12 September 2026 – 9 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 13 October 2026 |
| Sample | 1,034 |
| Method | telephone (live interviewer) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Nanos weekly tracking (four-week rolling sample: start = end - 27 days), read from the PDF text
Decided and leaning voters, as published. We rescale the parties to 100 before averaging.
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 Liberal |
48.8 |
 Conservative |
29.5 |
 NDP |
11.1 |
 Bloc |
6.4 |
 Green |
2.1 |
 PPC |
1.6 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: NDP 11.1% against 15%; Liberal 48.8% against 46%.