Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Big Data Poll , 12 December 2025
Big Data Poll has JD Vance ahead of Ron DeSantis by 37 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 45% to 8%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 10 December 2025 – 12 December 2025 |
| Stage | primary R |
| Sample | 1,337 (registered voters) |
| Method | mixed: online (Lucid/CINT) plus live-agent phone and P2P SMS text-to-web from L2/Aristotle voter files |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 JD Vance R |
45 | |
| Undecided | 14 | |
| Other | 11 | |
 Ron DeSantis R |
8 | |
 Marco Rubio R |
7 | |
 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. R |
6 | |
 Ted Cruz R |
5 | |
 Nikki Haley R |
5 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 3 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Nikki Haley 5% against 3.5%.
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ted Cruz.
- JD Vance: Photo: Emily J. Higgins, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:March_2026_Official_Vice_Presidential_Portrait_of_JD_Vance.jpg)
- Marco Rubio: Photo: U.S. Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Official_portrait_of_Secretary_Marco_Rubio.jpg)
- Nikki Haley: Photo: United States Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nikki_Haley_official_photo.jpg)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Photo: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Robert_F._Kennedy_Jr.,_official_portrait_(2025)_(cropped_3-4).jpg)
- Ron DeSantis: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ron_DeSantis_113th_Congress.jpg)