Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Big Data Poll , 27 May 2026
Big Data Poll has JD Vance ahead of Marco Rubio by 21.3 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 37.4% to 16.1%. Since its previous poll (24 January 2026): Marco Rubio +9.1 (7 → 16.1), JD Vance −8.6 (46 → 37.4), Ron DeSantis −2.8 (10 → 7.2).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 24 May 2026 – 27 May 2026 |
| Stage | primary R |
| Sample | 1,148 (likely voters) |
| Method | mixed: online (Lucid/CINT) plus live-agent phone and P2P SMS text-to-web from L2/Aristotle voter files |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 JD Vance R |
37.4 | |
 Marco Rubio R |
16.1 | |
| Other | 13.4 | |
| Undecided | 13.1 | |
 Ron DeSantis R |
7.2 | |
 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. R |
5.9 | |
 Nikki Haley R |
3.8 | |
 Ted Cruz R |
3.3 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Marco Rubio 16.1% against 21%; Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5.9% against 4%.
Big Data Poll's previous poll of this race, 24 January 2026 →
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ted Cruz.
- JD Vance: Photo: Emily J. Higgins, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:March_2026_Official_Vice_Presidential_Portrait_of_JD_Vance.jpg)
- Marco Rubio: Photo: U.S. Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Official_portrait_of_Secretary_Marco_Rubio.jpg)
- Nikki Haley: Photo: United States Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nikki_Haley_official_photo.jpg)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Photo: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Robert_F._Kennedy_Jr.,_official_portrait_(2025)_(cropped_3-4).jpg)
- Ron DeSantis: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ron_DeSantis_113th_Congress.jpg)