Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Focaldata, 5 October 2026
Focaldata has JD Vance ahead of Marco Rubio by 14 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 38% to 24%. Since its previous poll (2 September 2026): JD Vance −5 (43 → 38), Marco Rubio +3 (21 → 24).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 2 October 2026 – 5 October 2026 |
| Stage | primary R |
| Sample | 803 (likely voters) |
| Paid for by | Financial Times |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 JD Vance R |
38 | |
 Marco Rubio R |
24 | |
| Undecided | 12 | |
 Ron DeSantis R |
9 | |
 Donald Trump Jr. R |
7 | |
 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. R |
4 | |
 Ted Cruz R |
2 | |
 Vivek Ramaswamy R |
1 | |
| Other | 1 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 2 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Marco Rubio 24% against 17.5%; JD Vance 38% against 41.5%.
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ted Cruz.
- Donald Trump Jr.: Photo: Gage Skidmore from Surprise, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Donald_Trump,_Jr._(53808883476)_(cropped).jpg)
- JD Vance: Photo: Emily J. Higgins, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:March_2026_Official_Vice_Presidential_Portrait_of_JD_Vance.jpg)
- Marco Rubio: Photo: U.S. Department of State, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Official_portrait_of_Secretary_Marco_Rubio.jpg)
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: Photo: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Robert_F._Kennedy_Jr.,_official_portrait_(2025)_(cropped_3-4).jpg)
- Ron DeSantis: Photo: United States Congress, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ron_DeSantis_113th_Congress.jpg)
- Vivek Ramaswamy: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Vivek_Ramaswamy_(55241367373)_(cropped).jpg)