United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 11 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · 2028 presidential election, national

Focaldata, 5 May 2026

Focaldata has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 22 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 38% to 16%. Since its previous poll (10 March 2026): Gavin Newsom −6 (22 → 16), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez −2 (11 → 9), Kamala Harris −1 (39 → 38).

Race2028 presidential election, national
Fieldwork1 May 2026 – 5 May 2026
Stageprimary D
Sample1,339 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageNo: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window

Main

Kamala HarrisKamala Harris D 38
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom D 16
Undecided 10
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg D 9
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez D 9
Mark KellyMark Kelly D 5
Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro D 5
JB PritzkerJB Pritzker D 3
Andy BeshearAndy Beshear D 2
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff D 1
Other 1

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 2 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Kamala Harris 38% against 19.5%; Pete Buttigieg 9% against 19.2%.

Focaldata's previous poll of this race, 10 March 2026 →

Photo credits

3 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Mark Kelly.

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