Polls · 2028 presidential election, national
Harvard / Harris , 12 July 2026
Harvard / Harris has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 13 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 37% to 24%. Since its previous poll (31 May 2026): Kamala Harris −7 (44 → 37), Gavin Newsom −2 (26 → 24), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +1 (8 → 9).
| Race | 2028 presidential election, national |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 11 July 2026 – 12 July 2026 |
| Stage | primary D |
| Sample | 1,776 (registered voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | No: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window |
Main
 Kamala Harris D |
37 | |
 Gavin Newsom D |
24 | |
 Pete Buttigieg D |
10 | |
 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez D |
9 | |
 Josh Shapiro D |
9 | |
 JB Pritzker D |
5 | |
| Other | 5 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 4 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Kamala Harris 37% against 20%; Gavin Newsom 24% against 14.5%.
Harvard / Harris's previous poll of this race, 31 May 2026 →
Photo credits
1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
- Gavin Newsom: Photo: Charles Ommanney – Office of the Governor of California, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Governor_of_California_Gavin_Newsom_(cropped_3x4).jpg)
- JB Pritzker: Photo: Maryland GovPics, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:J.B._Pritzker_April_2023.jpg)
- Josh Shapiro: Photo: Governor Tom Wolf, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Josh_Shapiro_2022_(cropped).jpg)
- Kamala Harris: Photo: The White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Kamala_Harris_Vice_Presidential_Portrait.jpg)
- Pete Buttigieg: Photo: United States Department of Transportation, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pete_Buttigieg,_Secretary_of_Transportation.jpg)