United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 11 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · 2028 presidential election, national

Focaldata, 28 September 2026

Focaldata has Kamala Harris ahead of Gavin Newsom by 15 points in 2028 presidential election, national, 30% to 15%. Since its previous poll (2 September 2026): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez −2 (11 → 9), Kamala Harris +1 (29 → 30), Gavin Newsom +1 (14 → 15).

Race2028 presidential election, national
Fieldwork26 September 2026 – 28 September 2026
Stageprimary D
Sample778 (likely voters)
Paid for byFinancial Times
Method–
Release release
In our averageNo: a primary, another matchup, an older poll of the same pollster, or older than the window

Main

Kamala HarrisKamala Harris D 30
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom D 15
Undecided 14
Pete ButtigiegPete Buttigieg D 9
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez D 9
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff D 8
Mark KellyMark Kelly D 5
Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro D 5
Andy BeshearAndy Beshear D 3
Other 0

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Mark Kelly 5% against 7.5%.

Focaldata's previous poll of this race, 2 September 2026 →

Photo credits

3 official portraits from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Mark Kelly.

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