United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 16 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Maine's 2nd district

Tulchin Research , 14 October 2026

Tulchin Research has Matthew Dunlap ahead of Paul LePage by 4 points in Maine's 2nd district, 50% to 46%. Since its previous poll (30 September 2026): Paul LePage −2 (48 → 46).

Race Maine's 2nd district
Fieldwork12 October 2026 – 14 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample500 (likely voters)
Pollster's leanMostly works for Democrats
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Matthew Dunlap D 50
Paul LePagePaul LePage R 46
Undecided 4

Margin on the decided vote: D+4.2; after our adjustments D+0.9, which includes a move of 0.2 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Tulchin Research's previous poll of this race, 30 September 2026 →

Photo credits

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