Polls · Texas Senate
ActiVote , 14 October 2026
ActiVote has James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by 4 points in Texas Senate, 52% to 48%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | Texas Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 30 September 2026 – 14 October 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 400 (likely voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 James Talarico D |
52 | |
 Ken Paxton R |
48 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+4.0; after our adjustments D+3.6, which includes a move of 0.2 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: James Talarico 52% against 47.1%; Ken Paxton 48% against 45%.
Photo credits
- James Talarico: Photo: Antonioaesparza, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:James_Talarico_Press_Conference_(cropped).jpg)
- Ken Paxton: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:K_Paxton.jpg)