United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 17 days Calendar Track record Research
Polls · Minnesota Senate

SurveyUSA , 12 October 2026

SurveyUSA has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by 3 points in Minnesota Senate, 45% to 42%. Since its previous poll (14 September 2026): Peggy Flanagan +3 (42 → 45).

Race Minnesota Senate
Fieldwork8 October 2026 – 12 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample718 (likely voters)
Paid for bySurveyUSA
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Peggy FlanaganPeggy Flanagan D 45
Michele TafoyaMichele Tafoya R 42
Undecided 9
Other 4

Margin on the decided vote: D+3.3; after our adjustments D+2.7, which includes a move of 0.2 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 3 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Peggy Flanagan 45% against 47%.

SurveyUSA's previous poll of this race, 14 September 2026 →

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